Last-News
0xabd1bf358b4e2ceb6c246bc3b0413418c124870e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-500.04
Realised
$183.21
Win rate
84%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
300 shares @ 66.5¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1032 shares @ 8.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$102.65
$15.26
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
120 shares @ 63.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.59
$20.40
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
200 shares @ 62.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
995 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.13
$-25.57
- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
116 shares @ 64.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.55
$-3.44
- YES
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
223 shares @ 24.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.85
$-8.70
- YES
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
350 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.50
$-17.60
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
230 shares @ 23.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$37.95
$-17.05
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
350 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.75
$-26.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$0.00May 15, 02:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.20May 11, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.31May 11, 12:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.99May 10, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$55.00May 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$1.00May 8, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.00May 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.50May 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$0.81May 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.04May 8, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".