Naive-Friendship
0xabe5de1162afa37223e3fae15f268a7842c5d99a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$519.05
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$-20.16
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
200 shares @ 8.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.00
$99.20
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$112.98
$-1.02
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$93.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Team Spirit win DreamLeague Season 29?
270 shares @ 15.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$62.10
$21.60
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
206 shares @ 17.4¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$53.47
$17.56
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$28.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Xtreme Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?
290 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$18.86
$-10.16
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$13.00
$-39.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.60
$-66.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.35
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.88May 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.35May 18, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$400.00May 18, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$200.00May 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$196.00May 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$102.00May 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$9.61May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.90May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$49.00May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$16.14May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$95.73May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$23.61May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.77May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.90May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$13.75May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$19.58May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$37.17May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.17May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.72May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.12May 18, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".