Honorable-Rice-Dawn
0xac42c7605f3133861af8edd858d8d223c9bf60d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$82.23
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
664 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$654.37
$6.11
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
950 shares @ 68.2¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$645.98
$-1.53
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$158.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
560 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$75.60
$-2.80
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
586 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.54
$3.76
- YES
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
659 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.20
$5.43
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
34 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.19
$0.17
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.41
$0.08
- HANJIN BRION CHALLENGERS
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
1326 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-344.83
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
1312 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-301.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.00May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$35.00May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$2.40May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.35May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$88.40May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$504.00May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.09May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$18.91May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$18.60May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$280.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$160.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.70May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.70May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$345.00May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$75.00May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$30.00May 18, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner$500.00May 18, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$400.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$54.00May 18, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $70.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".