Austere-Replacement
0xac46b65da0b142bbdaa74f6b3610aaba1a1c6cdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$538.54
Total PnL
$-0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
465 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$441.96
$209.47
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
465 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.02
$-209.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.78
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.50
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.81
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.49
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$7.12May 22, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?$7.80May 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?$6.70May 22, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?$8.80May 22, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 23?$7.50May 22, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on May 23?$7.60May 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on May 23?$9.80May 22, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?$6.01May 22, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 22?$9.31May 21, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?$6.62May 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$7.10May 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?$6.00May 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on May 22?$9.10May 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 22?$9.30May 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?$7.80May 21, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 22?$8.50May 21, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 21?$7.31May 20, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 20?$9.51May 20, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".