Miserly-Innovation
0xac8fcd246ffbd0b44a4b674a761ebcb3da243bc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$215.75
Total PnL
$0.60
Realised
$5.52
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
318 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.71
$6.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$0.55
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.50
$5.50
- YES
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
195 shares @ 0.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$6.04
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
138 shares @ 1.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.09
$5.03
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.95
$3.15
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
156 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.91
$1.79
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
572 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.86
$1.43
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
285 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.84
$2.85
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
181 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.43
$2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.50May 18, 04:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.39May 17, 16:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$0.00May 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?$0.73May 14, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.00May 14, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.60May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$0.50May 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.90May 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$6.50May 14, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.10May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.49May 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.87May 13, 13:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$3.11May 12, 10:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".