General-Councilman
0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$26.87
Realised
$-48.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
800 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$759.20
$-0.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 54.4¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$755.00
$211.00
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
3061 shares @ 14.2¢·now 20.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$612.16
$177.78
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
1000 shares @ 59.6¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$580.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
700 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$542.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
667 shares @ 79.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$530.27
$1.68
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 35.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$495.00
$140.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
991 shares @ 41.7¢·now 49.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$487.01
$73.47
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$484.50
$14.50
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$467.50
$17.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.31May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.10May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?$0.25May 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$2.85May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$91.52May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?$20.12May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$170.80May 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$2.37May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.90May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$246.00May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2.35May 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$40.61May 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.99May 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.90May 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.88May 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.97May 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09May 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$170.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 17, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $37.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".