Ripe-Calibre
0xad43bf4cb76ce3002688119387ec842fe5091c81
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.31
Total PnL
$-27.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.10
$0.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.77
$-0.02
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.51
$-0.29
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.35
$-0.17
- YES
Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.35
$-0.15
- YES
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will Michael Roth be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?
24 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.59
$-0.29
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.10 April 27-May 3?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer
1429 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- YES
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$13.65May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$2.52May 9, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Roth be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.06May 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.76May 4, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 April 27-May 3?$4.85May 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 April 27-May 3?$0.15May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.24May 3, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 3?$3.76May 3, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer$4.16May 3, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer$0.13May 3, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer$1.00May 3, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer$0.42May 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 3?$2.97May 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-02?$17.00May 2, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Roth be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.40May 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$3.00May 1, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.60May 1, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$3.80May 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.55Apr 30, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".