Spirited-Sorghum
0xad76b3c81a19f2bcc789f6b693b71e436142c715
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$152.41
Total PnL
$-7.79
Realised
$2.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?
100 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$99.70
$2.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on May 20?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$50.20
$0.03
- YES
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
53 shares @ 18.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-8.98
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
49 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.83
$-1.42
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.38
$-1.70
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
37 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.21
$-0.77
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
16 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.09
$-0.04
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.04
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$100.00May 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$96.27May 20, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00May 20, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$100.00May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$99.07May 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$99.07May 20, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$100.00May 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$99.07May 20, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$100.00May 20, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$98.57May 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 20?$100.00May 20, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$100.00May 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$99.07May 20, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$100.00May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$99.00May 20, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$100.00May 20, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$100.00May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$97.39May 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$99.00May 20, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$100.00May 20, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $58.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".