Lavish-Barium
0xadaf8d4048a32225db1905ca1cb9368fb0ad6eb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$679.87
Total PnL
$58.46
Realised
$181.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
165 shares @ 16.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.32
$86.81
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
150 shares @ 39.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.43
$-3.57
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
676 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.42
$6.42
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.26
$4.46
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1471 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
575 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
195 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.44
$2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?$0.58May 19, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.26May 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.18May 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$100.16May 19, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$7.02May 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.26May 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.18May 19, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?$106.27May 19, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$89.55May 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.00May 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$41.01May 19, 17:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$27.78May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$48.19May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$29.85May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$24.19May 17, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$133.32May 16, 15:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $15.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".