Authorized-Apron
0xade3686ec532a061e2a8ad2d0cb45ec26e623b44
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$19.43
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$27.93
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.84
$-0.16
- YES
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?
93 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.44
$-1.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.13
$-0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
77 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.71
$-1.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$1.34May 19, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$2.00May 19, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$2.00May 19, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 19, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?$1.05May 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?$1.00May 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 23?$1.07May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$3.38May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?$1.07May 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$2.14May 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?$1.07May 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?$1.07May 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$1.07May 18, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$1.07May 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$1.11May 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$1.07May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$1.07May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?$2.14May 18, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".