Gray-Sitar
0xae1f0226a91aaeee2ce1b898979bd2bbea2704f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$41.03
Total PnL
$-24.42
Realised
$-11.24
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
23 shares @ 77.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.83
$3.76
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.56
$0.00
- YES
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.43
$-0.37
- NO
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.32
$-0.08
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.19
$0.79
- YES
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 32.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$-6.27
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.8¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.30
$0.25
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-0.02
- NO
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 52.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.17
$0.45
- NO
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.04
$0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.45May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.63May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.16May 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.30May 17, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$6.92May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$2.77May 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.57May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.34May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.64May 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.25May 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.59May 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.66May 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.59May 16, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.34May 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.60May 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.62May 16, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$2.60May 16, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.26May 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$2.46May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$8.58May 16, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".