Unfinished-Belt
0xae91ec7354e12acb90922e9b7abdf6fc471f0f69
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$376.55
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
269 shares @ 17.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.72
$108.31
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
190 shares @ 73.6¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.25
$12.25
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
160 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.60
$1.90
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
165 shares @ 63.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$136.27
$31.27
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
139 shares @ 67.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.91
$39.50
- NO
Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?
109 shares @ 45.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$106.45
$56.60
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
95 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.24
$5.24
- NO
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
84 shares @ 65.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$83.02
$28.02
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
87 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$80.82
$0.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
84 shares @ 83.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$76.20
$6.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.33May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$40.14May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$4.69May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 17, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$32.61May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$20.09May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$9.00May 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.07May 17, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frank Lampard be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$30.00May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$20.20May 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.02May 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$20.07May 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2.06May 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "La Brea: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?$10.08May 17, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$25.10May 17, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.44May 17, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$2.67May 17, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$3.64May 17, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins$5.56May 17, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".