Equal-Activist
0xaed607fd8004efb5185d1039965ae26f66bc4704
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$99.91
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
82 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.91
$0.12
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $470?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $475?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $470?$11.99May 22, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $475?$6.99May 22, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$130.00May 22, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$66.62May 10, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$62.70May 10, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$132.00May 7, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$131.88May 5, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$68.90Apr 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$30.54Apr 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$68.83Mar 31, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$56.00Mar 10, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$80.78Mar 10, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$55.94Mar 4, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$53.50Feb 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$53.45Feb 13, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$56.00Feb 2, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called in 2025?$27.17Jan 25, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$55.94Jan 25, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $44.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".