Old-Sunshine
0xaf17116ae2b1476032785a67bd5b7c8c05905c20
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$351.08
Win rate
83%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$813.50
$313.50
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$186.50
$-313.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?
100 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.05
$-15.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on May 9?
1236 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 3?
1141 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 4?
1123 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 2?
937 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 1?
847 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?
823 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$8.23May 20, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$16.15May 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$17.24May 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$2.18May 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$2.70May 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.99May 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$2.59May 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$4.05May 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$28.77May 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$8.06May 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$2.78May 20, 02:09 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.70May 20, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$0.76May 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$19.51May 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?$0.28May 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$0.08May 19, 18:25 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.27May 19, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$11.00May 18, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".