Jovial-Waiter
0xaf226d432c43daaffeb1fbda609e27f586f65bea
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.66
Total PnL
$-2.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
2620 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$1.31
$-1.31
- YES
Will "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
1410 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
1290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.65
$-0.65
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$22.12May 16, 10:07 UTC
- SPLITWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$22.12May 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$1.48May 14, 14:09 UTC
- MERGEWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.26May 13, 07:32 UTC
- SPLITWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.26May 9, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$24.56May 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$1.34Apr 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$24.49Apr 25, 14:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.68Apr 23, 08:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.68Apr 22, 21:24 UTC
- MERGEWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$24.79Apr 21, 04:27 UTC
- SPLITWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$24.79Apr 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.37Apr 20, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$1.29Apr 17, 09:58 UTC
- MERGEWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$27.16Apr 16, 15:41 UTC
- SPLITWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$27.16Apr 14, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$27.33Apr 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$27.06Apr 12, 02:33 UTC
- MERGERussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$25.60Apr 11, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".