Courageous-Stumbling
0xaf38cbafaa8da562cc7f88ae2b06e5ea7027c19e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$85.18
Total PnL
$-364.42
Realised
$-12.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$29.97
$27.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$19.10
$15.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?
161 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.21
$2.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
70 shares @ 5.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.79
$1.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
71 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?
119 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.53
$1.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?
70 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.22
$-2.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
59 shares @ 6.8¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.92
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$0.06May 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$0.20May 19, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$1.86May 19, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$0.28May 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.36May 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?$2.70May 19, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$0.34May 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$0.85May 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$0.85May 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$2.10May 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?$5.22May 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$4.19May 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$4.20May 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?$4.19May 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$4.19May 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?$4.19May 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.10May 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.10May 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.10May 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.09May 19, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".