Nutritious-Barium
0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
65%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
20591 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$658.90
$66.75
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
15215 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$325.60
$16.11
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
33994 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$288.95
$17.06
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
4147 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$228.07
$20.99
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
607 shares @ 28.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$173.07
$1.15
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
354 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$159.45
$10.65
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$92.95
$-3.72
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
232 shares @ 28.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$81.12
$16.21
- NO
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
288 shares @ 17.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$77.75
$26.91
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1603 shares @ 2.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$72.92
$33.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.57May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.14May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.49May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.24May 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.87May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.33May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.69May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.47May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.78May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.57May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.20May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.76May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$9.90May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.99May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.44May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.20May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.93May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.60May 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.46May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.06May 17, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".