Monthly-Riding
0xafa470b7490165b6cd328a112d6f7373bdd90dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$106.09
Realised
$50.57
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
382 shares @ 88.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$368.06
$31.52
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
300 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.35
$9.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
120 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.06
$3.66
- NO
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 8 launches in May?
56 shares @ 96.7¢·now 74.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.01
$-12.41
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 68.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.75
$1.55
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$26.30
$3.50
- NO
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 66.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$24.26
$4.85
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 39.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$22.05
$10.35
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.10
$1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$0.02May 18, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Goose" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$144.99May 18, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Banana" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$125.00May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Goose" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$143.60May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Banana" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$123.80May 18, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.53May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.40May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.50May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$9.00May 17, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$0.00May 17, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit qualify for the DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs?$6.00May 17, 02:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.85May 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$18.00May 16, 03:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 8 launches in May?$54.51May 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$14.80May 15, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$12.21May 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.68May 15, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $28.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".