Phony-Usual
0xafab07743c2cc297f4484e22e189af91f4905949
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$562.41
Total PnL
$56.73
Realised
$33.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
224 shares @ 62.6¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.51
$16.23
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
160 shares @ 78.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$151.84
$26.57
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
112 shares @ 60.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$86.61
$19.61
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
92 shares @ 69.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$72.06
$8.24
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
58 shares @ 65.2¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$51.15
$13.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
55 shares @ 79.6¢·now 80.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$44.23
$0.24
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
78 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$34.00May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$35.44May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$69.51May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$23.55May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.15May 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$15.19May 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$48.87May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$20.89May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$20.84May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$30.03May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$18.12May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$11.95May 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.57May 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$12.58May 11, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$20.32May 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$20.36May 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$19.72May 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$20.40May 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$30.65May 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25.47May 10, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".