Defiant-Shot
0xafae30e46000a01e57e1557c6043f7a646b4ca54
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$100.38
Total PnL
$-24.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
45 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.76
$0.07
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.14
$0.03
- NO
Will BNB reach $1,100 in May?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.13
$0.02
- NO
Will "Bully - Ye" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.78
$-0.01
- NO
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in May?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.28
$-0.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.05
$0.18
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.24
$-0.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
6 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.01
$0.13
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
229 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- DAYANA YASTREMSKA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $2 in May?$7.31May 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$6.39May 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.60May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.35May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bully - Ye" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$8.79May 16, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$6.08May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in May?$10.11May 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?$6.21May 15, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$6.25May 14, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga$5.05May 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?$6.03May 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga$4.61May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$6.87May 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMCordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Bruno Fernandez$5.15May 12, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Black Phone 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$10.05May 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Bruno Fernandez$4.45May 12, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?$5.35May 12, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 11?$6.02May 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.9KMay 11, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?$7.05May 11, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $144.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".