Educated-Runway
0xafbcfbb51d831d53f0bdd8e5cc2333b548eb18c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$4.2K
Win rate
97%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
2418 shares @ 62.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$110.44
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1195 shares @ 29.3¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$837.94
$487.57
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
855 shares @ 82.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$662.69
$-42.82
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
516 shares @ 50.6¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$366.68
$105.34
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
731 shares @ 23.9¢·now 42.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$311.96
$136.89
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
731 shares @ 26.7¢·now 33.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$243.94
$48.77
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
244 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.78
$0.36
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
239 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$234.60
$12.47
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
2418 shares @ 4.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.80
$98.38
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
238 shares @ 39.1¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.13
$106.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$53.10May 17, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$15.78May 14, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$120.10May 6, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$137.19May 6, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$191.16May 6, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$5.00May 5, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$227.84May 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.5KMay 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$24.90Apr 21, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.1KApr 19, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?$5.00Apr 17, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$81.99Apr 17, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$5.00Apr 14, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$25.00Apr 14, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$5.00Apr 13, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?$18.94Apr 11, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$21.45Apr 11, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?$73.06Apr 11, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$95.73Apr 11, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$101.01Apr 11, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 131 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".