Busy-Garden
0xafbec6f5cbb068c30e011f946eaed6522012eb19
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$716.67
Total PnL
$25.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
618 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.30
$52.30
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
656 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$292.10
$10.02
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
238 shares @ 16.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$17.61
$-22.39
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.31
$0.31
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
19 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$288.51May 14, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.00May 2, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.00May 2, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.00May 1, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00Apr 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$8.21Apr 26, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$0.00Apr 22, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$10.00Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$10.00Apr 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$10.00Apr 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$40.17Apr 12, 15:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$15.00Apr 11, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".