Mundane-Federation
0xafd2e11a56362b774b3542c4eaa6b2ff9dd89693
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$41.08
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1539 shares @ 34.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$207.82
$-321.89
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
19100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$200.55
$-322.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$110.00
$24.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$80.80
$-263.78
- YES
Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$77.50
$27.50
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
700 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 46.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.61
$-19.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?
150 shares @ 6.5¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.00
$47.30
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
870 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.55
$4.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$0.01May 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$0.04May 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$11.30May 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$1.00May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$49.50May 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.18May 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$15.00May 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.77May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$0.75May 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?$43.43May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?$2.00May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?$3.33May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?$1.23May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$8.17May 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$1.17May 17, 08:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.53May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elephant" in May?$0.22May 16, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".