Delayed-Reliability
0xb0a7433e4432e7d362b4ac1719468b358053a3b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$758.90
Total PnL
$10.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET
751 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$750.82
$9.60
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.67
$0.42
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.26
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 56-57°F on April 21?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.15
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET$499.53May 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET$50.73May 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET$96.27May 21, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET$13.38May 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8PM ET$81.91May 21, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.5KMay 21, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.5KMay 20, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$8.6KMay 20, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$8.6KMay 20, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 56-57°F on April 21?$1.15Apr 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.15Apr 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.25Apr 20, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.32Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.82Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.22Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.20Mar 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.50Mar 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.20Mar 15, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$1.56Mar 15, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.52Mar 15, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $979.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".