Elastic-Cyst
0xb17a2114f1ec26a63fa56aefe88c6c7c737fb7a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$49.34
Total PnL
$-15.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
45 shares @ 55.5¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$19.35
$-5.65
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
506 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.90
$-5.11
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
95 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.09
$-2.38
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$10.47Apr 24, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$10.37Apr 24, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.10Mar 28, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$0.00Mar 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$4.75Mar 3, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.76Mar 3, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$5.00Mar 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$7.00Mar 3, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$4.26Mar 3, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$10.00Mar 3, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$20.00Mar 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$10.00Mar 3, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.90Mar 3, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.94Mar 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.36Mar 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$10.00Mar 2, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$10.95Mar 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$10.00Mar 2, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Mar 2, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$4.99Mar 2, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".