Light-Supervision
0xb18fb09b622e68c3d4df2feecd2e4a09e0f0b40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$161.27
Total PnL
$1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
145 shares @ 69.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$99.11
$-0.89
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
56 shares @ 71.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$41.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.37
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$20.00Mar 11, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$20.00Mar 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$20.00Mar 11, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.00Mar 11, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$160.13Feb 20, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$136.01Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$136.01Jan 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$28.36Jan 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$28.37Jan 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$85.01Jan 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$28.52Jan 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$28.01Jan 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$45.00Jan 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$45.46Jan 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$100.00Jan 9, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $58.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".