Poised-Circle
0xb1bc737a80a937dbb903985a1d05577391b8087d
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$163.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
554 shares @ 64.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.34
$107.45
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
415 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$403.45
$3.45
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
276 shares @ 78.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.14
$41.04
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
430 shares @ 43.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$191.35
$3.68
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
105 shares @ 58.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.40
$24.97
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
94 shares @ 75.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$78.82
$7.72
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
76 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$69.77
$1.27
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
80 shares @ 63.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.68
$12.18
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
54 shares @ 83.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$53.97
$8.77
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.44
$2.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.29May 17, 22:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$2.10May 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$20.14May 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$20.00May 14, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$50.00May 14, 01:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.22May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.72May 13, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.26May 13, 22:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".