Awesome-Availability
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$824.5K
Total PnL
$47.4K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
124201 shares @ 82.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$116.1K
$13.6K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
92388 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$91.8K
$6.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
83000 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.3K
$3.9K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
76000 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.4K
$3.4K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
33490 shares @ 80.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.3K
$3.5K
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
27287 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.0K
$1.3K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.8K
$1.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
24000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.7K
$1.0K
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.3K
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
22427 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.0K
$105.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.84May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$279.93May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$629.85May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.87May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.2KMay 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.06May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$12.22May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$142.99May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.4KMay 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.45May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$96.11May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$98.43May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.94May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.74May 18, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $393.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".