Bewitched-Makeup
0xb2c5788e296a76cdbacd7ab737390939021b6593
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$396.64
Total PnL
$-96.90
Realised
$175.68
Win rate
90%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1094 shares @ 14.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.97
$-58.56
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
193 shares @ 47.6¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$69.43
$-22.47
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
281 shares @ 4.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$32.19
$18.33
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
92 shares @ 23.8¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.38
$0.54
- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
105 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.55
$0.09
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.12
$0.69
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?
150 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.10
$13.35
- NO
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
24 shares @ 23.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$13.20
$7.68
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
12 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$12.00
$11.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.09May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.30May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.15May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.21May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.05May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?$0.25May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$0.22May 18, 01:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGA Championship: Playoff?$2.00May 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGA Championship: Playoff?$1.11May 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGA Championship: Playoff?$1.29May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGA Championship: Playoff?$0.60May 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?$0.03May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?$0.02May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$0.24May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$0.28May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$0.92May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".