Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand
0xb2d5f3ad75e3e7f372ec3e74969c59f556cb99fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$35.02
Total PnL
$-141.63
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$15.13
$11.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 22?
17 shares @ 20.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.66
$7.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.71
$1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.41
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.10
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.81
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 21?
1 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.11
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 21?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.08
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 21?
1 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.01
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 22?$3.71May 20, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?$3.18May 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?$4.09May 20, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?$2.05May 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?$1.68May 19, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?$1.96May 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 21?$0.05May 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 21?$0.16May 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 21?$0.19May 19, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 19?$1.54May 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 19?$1.24May 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 19?$1.61May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?$1.40May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?$1.73May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 19?$1.12May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 19?$1.58May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 20?$1.63May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 19?$3.95May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 20?$1.45May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?$1.35May 17, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".