Adorable-Isolation
0xb2f443f2db25c4e86b1ce7bfa0cb12409dc01c9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$57.18
Total PnL
$-130.08
Realised
$19.47
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the May meeting?
11 shares @ 63.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 28, 2026$10.71
$3.78
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
10 shares @ 65.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.71
$3.19
- YES
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.54
$3.44
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
10 shares @ 4.2¢·now 82.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.18
$7.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.85
$4.65
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
4 shares @ 29.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.85
$2.68
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$-2.75
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
9 shares @ 42.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.52
$-1.40
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.55
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.65
$-1.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$0.43Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be between 1.3m and 1.5m?$0.77Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye tweet again by February 28?$1.97Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on February 12?$4.76Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mount McKinley" during the State of the Union address?$5.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?$5.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be less than 20k?$6.18Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$6.51Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?$8.97Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by February 28?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be between 35k and 40k?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 130 and 159 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 70 and 99 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".