Bountiful-Chance
0xb2f661e39574c9f4b8378de3a38b08faa1165d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$255.70
Total PnL
$-146.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
60 shares @ 75.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$60.09
$14.49
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
37 shares @ 51.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$26.91
$7.67
- YES
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
47 shares @ 16.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$14.19
$6.71
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
58 shares @ 22.7¢·now 22.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$13.17
$-0.03
- YES
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
64 shares @ 27.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.46
$-4.90
- YES
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
29 shares @ 20.1¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.77
$3.89
- YES
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
42 shares @ 8.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.74
$5.41
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
32 shares @ 7.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.36
$5.12
- YES
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.96
$3.32
- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.61
$3.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$23.27Apr 23, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?$3.41Apr 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?$5.44Apr 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?$14.94Apr 21, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?$0.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 25, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?$0.00Mar 25, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 25, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$94.63Mar 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$8.30Mar 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$6.70Mar 19, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?$64.94Mar 14, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".