Insidious-Hair
0xb3472a1ff7ebc53e2ecda6680a9ed50f1516accd
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$297.56
Total PnL
$1.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
50 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.73
$0.52
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
46 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.13
$1.84
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
40 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$27.68
$-0.13
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.62
$-0.04
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
23 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.66
$0.74
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
23 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.29
$-0.05
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
18 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.75
$0.75
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
17 shares @ 99.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.54
$-0.35
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 96.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.06
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.13May 18, 10:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$9.30May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$4.60May 17, 08:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.04May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.80May 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.56May 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.94May 16, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$16.89May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token before 2027?$42.51May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$3.68May 16, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?$0.00May 16, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".