Authentic-Borrowing
0xb3cdd99b93ca712f54bcf37b6e8b0c22f4f89c79
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$219.76
Total PnL
$-144.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
110 shares @ 32.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$64.27
$28.27
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
65 shares @ 84.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.62
$0.62
- NO
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.67
$-3.33
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.00
$4.00
- NO
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.74
$-1.26
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.07
$-1.93
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.26
$-0.74
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
85 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- LAKERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$47.73May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$64.28May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$28.21May 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$96.40May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.24May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$30.58May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$30.55May 16, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$51.43May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$25.90May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$20.29May 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.07May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$33.77May 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.04May 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$25.19May 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$26.00May 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$39.06May 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$35.55May 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$25.80May 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$30.22May 12, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".