0xb3e0c9d80844223924471f53796def4b48603933
0xb3e0c9d80844223924471f53796def4b48603933
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.61
Total PnL
$-24.87
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 54.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.84
$-0.17
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
75 shares @ 14.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.39
$-7.61
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.28
$-0.72
- CANADA
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
6 shares @ 26.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.59
$-1.11
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
56 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
27 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.75May 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?$1.03May 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.11May 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$3.11May 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.90May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.26May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$1.04May 12, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$2.06May 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?$2.07May 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$2.07May 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$1.02May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$1.02May 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLQFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.24May 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$37.99May 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 5, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.03May 5, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.48May 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.45May 2, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".