Afraid-Divan-Abdomen
0xb47b4089294c42eb96916f22183ede65b6093b53
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$23.90
Total PnL
$-93.29
Realised
$49.91
Win rate
17%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.72
$1.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.35
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.34
$0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.44
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.16
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 20?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
10 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.39
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 9.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.17
$-0.28
- YES
Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
10 shares @ 8.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.16
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?$0.76May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?$9.71May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?$2.54May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be less than 17,500,000?$2.39May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?$4.90May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be less than 17,500,000?$4.86May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$9.49May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.24May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 20?$4.97May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 20?$9.99May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$9.70May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$1.87May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?$14.95May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 21?$12.19May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 21?$14.76May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 21?$9.53May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 21?$13.28May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?$0.02May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 21?$12.56May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?$14.97May 20, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".