Agreeable-Rainmaker
0xb50248d3cbd7184d398ecde55a1b6b6d3b3f145c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$169.38
Realised
$-34.86
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
435 shares @ 50.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$363.29
$144.29
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
307 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$299.76
$4.76
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
280 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$279.18
$5.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
369 shares @ 44.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$241.44
$76.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
203 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$200.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
83 shares @ 64.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$58.39
$5.38
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
61 shares @ 66.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$33.03
$-6.97
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
33 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$31.47
$1.47
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
23 shares @ 77.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.55
$0.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
11 shares @ 84.4¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.12
$1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$31.32May 25, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.23May 25, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?$60.67May 24, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?$0.90May 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5$11.43May 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$2.10May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$8.97May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5$4.18May 24, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$5.28May 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$50.72May 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$40.00May 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.04May 24, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$158.02May 24, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5$10.04May 24, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$4.04May 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$4.15May 24, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$4.05May 24, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5$4.16May 24, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$27.70May 24, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".