Splendid-Flax
0xb50cc9dfe569420ea706f73b3000e1cd4dfc8c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$407.47
Total PnL
$-896.33
Realised
$-27.99
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
332 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$283.86
$14.94
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
41 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.59
$0.64
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
86 shares @ 48.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.66
$-11.62
- NO
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
20 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$19.49
$0.32
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
17 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$17.00
$5.44
- NO
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
15 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.68
$2.08
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 74.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.89
$0.67
- YES
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-0.71
- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
617 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-215.95
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
403 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-189.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$215.95Apr 24, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$215.00Apr 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$268.92Apr 10, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$81.60Apr 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$186.66Apr 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$145.04Apr 8, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$217.71Apr 7, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$105.78Apr 7, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$228.75Mar 30, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$240.09Mar 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$262.74Mar 29, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$78.76Mar 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$31.24Mar 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$1.38Mar 24, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$29.46Mar 24, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? $1.40Mar 24, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? $119.80Mar 24, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$240.00Mar 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? $90.90Mar 23, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $127.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".