Brown-Tragedy
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$66.4K
Total PnL
$-593.55
Realised
$-956.52
Win rate
53%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12061 shares @ 67.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.7K
$-497.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
5618 shares @ 86.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.3K
$427.77
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7127 shares @ 57.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$788.11
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
5923 shares @ 74.2¢·now 71.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$-178.62
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5502 shares @ 62.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$216.52
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
3254 shares @ 86.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$144.37
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
3282 shares @ 83.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$84.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
3329 shares @ 75.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$297.74
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
3193 shares @ 79.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.5K
$-46.67
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3076 shares @ 56.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$396.41
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$50.00May 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$196.18May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$39.45May 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$9.10May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$13.00May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$104.75May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$28.71May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$10.11May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$10.11May 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$101.02May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$4.55May 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$263.90May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$434.44May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$405.04May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$25.80May 17, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $149.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".