Vast-Damage
0xb625f16d0d339e5b95e543bf594c6b63de3c79c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$774.16
Total PnL
$-208.18
Realised
$2.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
128 shares @ 81.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.25
$7.25
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
66 shares @ 75.7¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.28
$9.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
62 shares @ 80.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$42.39
$-7.61
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.25
$-8.75
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.83
$-9.17
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
46 shares @ 65.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.42
$-0.58
- NO
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?
76 shares @ 65.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$25.60
$-24.40
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$25.25
$5.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$24.60
$4.60
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.48
$1.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$14.71May 18, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$50.69May 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$20.10May 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Comrade" this week?$20.40May 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" this week?$10.23May 17, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$50.38May 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bridge" this week?$10.18May 17, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$10.24May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$10.22May 17, 05:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 17?$10.46May 16, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 17?$10.37May 16, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?$10.32May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$1.04May 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$10.43May 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$10.14May 16, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".