Lovely-Sailor
0xb6b4a6842d7ab57abf67b270247ca61e62696709
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$112.73
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
1575 shares @ 37.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$417.30
$-178.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2860 shares @ 8.3¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$393.23
$157.23
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
615 shares @ 65.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$362.91
$-39.21
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
822 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$332.86
$-20.18
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
333 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$309.16
$7.05
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10039 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$306.20
$-20.78
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
529 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$171.85
$2.66
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
314 shares @ 55.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$148.96
$-24.72
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
510 shares @ 42.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$147.90
$-70.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
314 shares @ 59.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$136.59
$-48.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$43.96May 18, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$56.85May 17, 14:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$4.63May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.07May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$21.84May 15, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.65May 15, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12May 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12May 15, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.22May 15, 02:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$36.54May 14, 23:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$0.23May 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$2.76May 13, 06:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.46May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$233.95May 12, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".