Stormy-Twine
0xb6c9898690594bc15c439bca858629d4e984af55
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-13.64
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- UP
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 20?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 20?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$1.06May 19, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$1.06May 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?$1.02May 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 20?$1.02May 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 20?$1.02May 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?$1.02May 19, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00May 19, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00May 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.24May 19, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.03May 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.07May 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.23May 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.03May 19, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00May 19, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.11May 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.01May 19, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00May 19, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".