Major-Earring-Canvas
0xb734185c6bbc579ee734f4d1be0fc5453b80b992
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$59.72
Total PnL
$-36.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.81
$5.81
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
7 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.40
$1.21
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.38
$3.38
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.67
$2.67
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.29
$2.29
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.71
$0.71
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
36 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$-0.33
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.27May 13, 16:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.19May 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00May 10, 13:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$1.67May 9, 17:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$5.21May 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.15May 7, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".