Hard-Larva
0xb766be2ee36ae2d42b236e3fb16dbfb317351d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$38.3K
Total PnL
$930.92
Realised
$52.60
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15432 shares @ 61.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17753 shares @ 15.2¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.2K
$532.27
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3297 shares @ 77.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$585.35
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4056 shares @ 63.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$95.47
- YES
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
3128 shares @ 75.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.4K
$23.80
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7553 shares @ 44.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.3K
$-1.0K
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3686 shares @ 7.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
2143 shares @ 78.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.0K
$288.34
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4768 shares @ 31.4¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.8K
$314.21
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2769 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.8K
$-41.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.00May 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$40.59May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$80.00May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$0.98May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$25.86May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.54May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$215.40May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$348.85May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$88.27May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$259.56May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$92.25May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$121.50May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$210.49May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$15.58May 18, 01:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.66May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$33.00May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$3.90May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$15.00May 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$30.00May 17, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $84.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".