Grateful-Chance
0xb82eb169bff1ae5ae68aa067eb47ddaa5a685278
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$87.08
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$87.21
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?
148 shares @ 18.2¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$29.69
$2.69
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?
48 shares @ 40.8¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$23.56
$3.93
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET
43 shares @ 48.9¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.20
$-0.80
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$13.64
$-6.36
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
2270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.30
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $380?
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
1201 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-32.42
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 17?
978 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-107.44
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on April 21?
972 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-134.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET$21.75May 20, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET$21.80May 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?$20.09May 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET$10.39May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?$30.35May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?$29.66May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?$8.27May 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 18 2026?$38.09May 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?$9.29May 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 18 2026?$40.94May 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?$4.27May 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?$1.07May 20, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?$2.13May 20, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET$1.04May 20, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?$20.71May 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?$10.32May 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET$12.83May 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?$0.94May 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?$1.41May 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 19?$5.14May 19, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".