Hairy-Contrast
0xb86ec7adc17a76bd2144a2eb6c2238b832be306b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$60.78
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-161.09
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
251 shares @ 11.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.19
$-13.81
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
801 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.81
$-28.19
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
112 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.24
$-3.76
- YES
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
175 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
127 shares @ 7.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.73
$-4.27
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
73 shares @ 13.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$5.12
$-4.88
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
422 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.80
$-1.20
- YES
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 2, 10AM ET?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
2573 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$10.28May 17, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$17.54May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.21May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$30.60May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$44.15May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$30.60May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$41.90May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$25.70May 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?$10.37May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET$0.18May 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET$26.08May 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET$10.65May 15, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET$37.77May 15, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET$30.43May 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$9.84May 13, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET$16.40May 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.16May 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$30.61May 13, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET$132.15May 12, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".