Scared-Administrator
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$41.4K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
79%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3010 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$45.46
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2700 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.7K
$37.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2610 shares @ 74.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$385.55
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2450 shares @ 86.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$196.76
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
2255 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$68.26
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2000 shares @ 93.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.0K
$96.80
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2026 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$33.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1600 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.6K
$32.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1800 shares @ 82.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$-91.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1400 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.4K
$24.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$181.38May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$290.40May 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.57May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.16May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$79.02May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$48.00May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$397.31May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$51.00May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$8.50May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$91.00May 18, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$6.6KMay 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$38.97May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$26.00May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$28.00May 18, 02:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.96May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.73May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$27.33May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$38.26May 17, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $121.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".