Icky-Temporariness
0xb8b530e2ee88165f930b2047d9ae41208db2956a
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$237.03
Total PnL
$-885.74
Realised
$40.22
Win rate
100%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?
193 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$187.31
$0.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 24, 2026$28.73
$-0.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
21 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$20.99
$2.51
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7AM ET
427 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-76.94
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3AM ET
90 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3AM ET
40 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1PM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8PM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$12.30May 21, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$28.79May 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$174.97May 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$22.15May 20, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$12.87May 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$19.43May 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$68.17May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$93.50May 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?$18.48May 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$51.40May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$157.62May 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$99.29May 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$103.00May 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$4.91May 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$3.91May 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$2.06May 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$14.36May 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$222.69May 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$222.55May 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$220.92May 8, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $67.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".