Formal-Cupcake
0xb8c842bc049bf208f73354c7b037b811d741d8a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
177
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$-140.4K
Realised
$-69.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- MINNESOTA TWINS
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
2857 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$2.9K
$1.7K
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
3529 shares @ 34.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.5K
$335.30
- NO
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?
2609 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.2K
$-13.04
- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?
3529 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.2K
$-17.64
- NO
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
2046 shares @ 58.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.2K
$-23.63
- YES
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?
4242 shares @ 28.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.1K
$-75.95
- CONNECTICUT SUN
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm
2500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.1K
$-87.50
- DETROIT TIGERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
2727 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 29, 2026$8.18
$-1.2K
- CONNECTICUT SUN
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.80
$-1.30
- DALLAS WINGS
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)
2450 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.22
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.92May 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$399.25May 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$122.50May 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$73.50May 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$2.45May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$3.50May 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$0.96May 22, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$1.92May 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$4.62May 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.2KMay 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$1.2KMay 22, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?$1.2KMay 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?$1.2KMay 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$147.00May 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$6.73May 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm$1.2KMay 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)$5.17May 22, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)$444.76May 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.2KMay 22, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$1.2KMay 22, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $324.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".