Irresponsible-Pupa
0xb8d14d0488bee8a3f1403d118ba876f2e6ee40c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-490.85
Realised
$-909.22
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2000 shares @ 72.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$945.00
$45.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 84.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$895.35
$53.31
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
401 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$401.09
$84.09
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
706 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$345.70
$21.17
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
448 shares @ 43.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$324.61
$130.83
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
383 shares @ 19.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$208.78
$132.54
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
84 shares @ 73.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$63.23
$1.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
40 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$39.99
$23.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
36 shares @ 36.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$36.35
$23.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.30May 19, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$9.60May 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.18May 19, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.82May 19, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.80May 19, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$6.60May 19, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.87May 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.03May 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.90May 19, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.35May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.77May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.29May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.70May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.20May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.00May 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.40May 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.95May 19, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.04May 19, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.91May 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.77May 19, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".